Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 321.740955 366.262235 416.394946 477.358515 549.931788 634.112091 739.947058
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 262.139193 321.129306 394.094685 492.348924 623.327519 795.045509 1042.570004
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 225.203688 289.222561 373.429006 494.931409 670.307855 921.791856 1324.428095
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 195.850088 260.510930 349.588379 485.150707 693.539790 1015.054621 1577.767778
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 176.833445 242.389694 336.384545 486.307444 730.235238 1132.964976 1900.582537
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 158.661942 222.791066 317.764806 475.220416 743.911113 1214.128039 2180.794535
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 145.705358 209.179343 306.039999 472.558344 769.948344 1320.818952 2542.682854
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 130.455787 190.394057 283.929975 449.211465 754.900697 1346.906511 2742.699187
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 125.946455 187.822085 287.276002 469.584628 823.150372 1551.341095 3424.077295
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 123.139847 187.585873 294.255233 497.156342 910.280871 1817.919942 4383.255318
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 116.252345 179.917304 287.632240 498.343068 943.742655 1973.277822 5115.008494
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 107.778589 168.837814 273.905407 483.964412 941.275154 2042.219055 5620.433796
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 100.079296 158.678582 261.230089 470.806995 940.975569 2121.475766 6223.192931
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 96.875680 156.119541 262.200960 485.607864 1008.136758 2400.482558 7733.169270
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 92.403667 150.907329 257.653758 488.145098 1046.510206 2612.373617 9152.590537
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 86.918868 143.431111 248.075833 478.531740 1052.704977 2731.233689 10269.979777
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 83.147456 138.815154 243.622903 479.668730 1087.036235 2950.880436 12085.851449
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 78.417551 132.075758 234.381075 468.770474 1087.076748 3058.103761 13424.618747
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 74.923674 127.435952 228.978370 466.153565 1109.787086 3253.792082 15516.851937
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 69.720614 119.209567 215.631407 443.200011 1070.337369 3210.516333 16044.108339
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 68.936970 119.465619 219.846129 463.230223 1161.527712 3702.947091 21057.878570
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 68.736857 120.837072 226.516668 490.331865 1281.513346 4377.503953 29047.138075
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 66.356631 117.699106 223.208324 491.498208 1319.241794 4715.750897 34805.426084